According to @MI_Algos, BTC printed a daily close above the 21-Day SMA on Sunday, which helped fuel today’s bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish until weekly closes reclaim the 50-Week SMA and Weekly RSI closes above 41, indicating bear-market invalidation only after those triggers, source: @MI_Algos. The decisive line in the sand is the Yearly Open/Timescape level: holding above it provides a platform for recovery, while losing it convincingly opens the door to deeper downside and the psychological transition from hope to denial, source: @MI_Algos. Recent upside likely reflects typical pre–Fed decision positioning that squeezes shorts and traps late longs, so rallies should be treated as potential liquidity events until the weekly signals flip, source: @MI_Algos. If BTC drops back below the Yearly Open, the final local support is the active trend line; a breakdown risks a lower low and tests at Q2 2025 Timescape levels, with accelerated capitulation if those supports fail, source: @MI_Algos.

According to @CNBC, Asia-Pacific markets are set to slip, tracking Wall Street losses ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision, source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/09/asia-markets-live-today-tuesday-fed-decision-nikkei-225-kospi-hang-seng-index-nifty-50.html. According to @CNBC, this cautious risk tone into the Fed decision is a macro backdrop that crypto traders can monitor during Asia hours for potential cross-asset volatility in BTC and ETH, source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/09/asia-markets-live-today-tuesday-fed-decision-nikkei-225-kospi-hang-seng-index-nifty-50.html.

According to @MI_Algos, BTC volatility is expected to persist into Wednesday around the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, increasing macro-event risk for short-term traders. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) on X, Dec 8, 2025. @MI_Algos highlights a visible buy wall slightly above $88,000 in the BTC order book and warns it may spoof if price approaches, indicating potentially unreliable support. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) on X, Dec 8, 2025. Traders should closely monitor real-time order book depth and liquidity shifts near the 88k area and prepare for whipsaws into the decision window. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) on X, Dec 8, 2025.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the week’s key events are September JOLTS Job Openings on Tuesday, the December Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Chair Powell’s press conference on Wednesday, the OPEC Monthly Report on Thursday, Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, and a U.S. 30-year Treasury bond auction, forming the core trading calendar to monitor for cross-asset risk, source: The Kobeissi Letter. JOLTS tracks job openings and labor demand conditions and is published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, while Initial Jobless Claims measure weekly unemployment insurance filings from the U.S. Department of Labor, providing near-term reads on labor tightness that traders track for macro momentum, source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Department of Labor. The Federal Reserve will set the target range for the federal funds rate and communicate guidance via the post-meeting statement and Powell’s press conference, events that the Kobeissi Letter highlights as central market catalysts this week, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; The Kobeissi Letter. The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report delivers production, demand, and inventory assessments that can influence crude benchmarks and inflation expectations viewed by rates traders, source: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The U.S. 30-year bond auction determines awarded yields and allocation across bidder classes, shaping the long-end Treasury benchmark closely watched by markets for discount-rate implications, source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Crypto market participants in BTC and ETH commonly align event risk around these macro releases given their cross-asset relevance, with this week’s schedule flagged by The Kobeissi Letter as the primary catalyst map, source: The Kobeissi Letter.

According to @cas_abbe, December FOMC rate cut odds nearly doubled today after a New York Fed governor stated that current policy remains restrictive (source: @cas_abbe). According to @cas_abbe, despite the surge in odds, he expects no December rate cut because there will be no October jobs data available to guide the decision (source: @cas_abbe).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the author asked the market for expectations going into the FOMC and whether the event will provide enough fuel for Bitcoin (BTC) and Altcoins to surge. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025. The post underscores trader focus on the FOMC as a potential near-term catalyst for crypto price action and liquidity. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025. No specific price targets, timeframes, or forecasts were provided by the author. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025.

According to @CNBC, European stocks are set to open lower as traders await the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision today (source: @CNBC). The report highlights a cautious tone across the STOXX 600, FTSE, CAC 40, and DAX ahead of the announcement, putting near-term risk sentiment in focus for the European session (source: @CNBC). The FOMC policy statement is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. ET, followed by a press conference (source: Federal Reserve).

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) hit 116,000 dollars as traders brace for the Federal Reserve rate decision; source: the source post on X dated Oct 28, 2025. The market is split on whether BTC will push to 117,000 dollars or pull back to fill the latest CME Bitcoin futures gap, defining near-term inflection levels for trade planning; source: the source post on X dated Oct 28, 2025.

According to @CNBC, the ongoing stock market rally may hinge on what Chair Jerome Powell says after Wednesday’s Federal Reserve rate decision, as traders key in on post-meeting guidance that can shift risk appetite and positioning, source: CNBC. The Fed will announce its policy decision followed by Powell’s press conference, with market participants primed to react to his guidance immediately after the statement release, source: Federal Reserve and CNBC. For crypto markets, traders should monitor BTC and ETH for short-term volatility around Powell’s remarks, with cross-asset cues from the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yields that reflect rate expectations and financial conditions, source: CNBC and Federal Reserve.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, historical seasonality points to October as Bitcoin’s most bullish stretch after a choppy September, highlighting a potential flip in market momentum, source: @MilkRoadDaily. Key October catalysts flagged are approximately $5B in FTX payouts to creditors, ETF deadlines for top altcoins, and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision, source: @MilkRoadDaily. These events converge during Bitcoin’s strongest seasonal window, with @MilkRoadDaily noting that Uptober might live up to its name, source: @MilkRoadDaily. Full context is referenced by @MilkRoadDaily via mrcrypto.milkroad.com/p/why-october-could-be-huge, source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to @DecryptMedia, Bitcoin whales moved millions ahead of a highly anticipated Federal Reserve rate decision, highlighting increased large-holder activity that traders often monitor for near-term liquidity shifts and volatility catalysts (source: @DecryptMedia on X).

According to @MilkRoadDaily, the Federal Reserve’s rate decision arrives Wednesday with U.S. retail sales, jobless claims, and Chair Powell’s press conference clustered around it, creating a concentrated macro catalyst window for risk assets including BTC and ETH, source: @MilkRoadDaily. According to @MilkRoadDaily, this 48-hour data and policy stack could set the tone for Q4 market direction and positioning across equities, bonds, and crypto, source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to @cas_abbe, the Federal Reserve has announced no rate cuts, aligning with market expectations despite recent calls from Trump for monetary easing. The upcoming Powell press conference is expected to set the direction for financial markets, with traders closely watching for signals that could impact cryptocurrency prices such as BTC and ETH. Rate decisions from the Fed often influence risk asset flows and crypto market volatility, making this announcement a key short-term trading event (source: @cas_abbe).

According to Matt Hougan, the U.S. Federal Reserve has maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, citing solid economic activity and elevated inflation. The Fed's updated projections indicate fewer rate cuts in 2026 and 2027 than previously anticipated. This hawkish stance was reinforced by a stronger-than-expected June jobs report, which showed 147,000 nonfarm payrolls added and the unemployment rate falling to 4.1%, exceeding forecasts. Following the jobs data, traders significantly lowered their bets on a July rate cut, with odds of holding steady soaring to 95%. For crypto traders, Bitcoin (BTC) showed little immediate reaction to the Fed's announcement, hovering around $104,200. However, after the robust employment figures were released, BTC experienced a modest dip to just under $109,000, as the strong economic data reduces the likelihood of near-term monetary easing that could benefit risk assets.

According to @BitMEXResearch, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) are trading in a narrow range, demonstrating resilience amid geopolitical tensions but also caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision. Despite the market calm, institutional adoption continues to accelerate, evidenced by JPMorgan's application for a crypto platform and MicroStrategy's recent purchase of over 10,100 BTC, as cited in the report. Analysis from BRN suggests a structural shift where institutions are dominating demand, creating a favorable risk/reward asymmetry for staying invested in BTC. In contrast, analysis from XBTO indicates a controlled de-risking in the altcoin market, with capital consolidating into major assets rather than fleeing. The altcoin dominance index has fallen to its lowest level since January 2024, confirming the bull market is currently concentrated in major tokens. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's 50-day simple moving average is acting as a critical support level.

According to @AltcoinGordon, the cryptocurrency market is showing resilience and significant institutional interest, pushing Bitcoin (BTC) above $108,600. The report highlights that investment banking giant JPMorgan has filed for a crypto-focused platform, while Strategy purchased over 10,100 BTC. Further boosting market sentiment, asset manager Purpose is set to launch a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in Canada. Analysts from BRN note a structural shift towards institutional dominance, maintaining a high-conviction view that BTC prices will grind higher with a favorable risk/reward asymmetry, as stated in the analysis. Separately, Bitfinex analysts suggest the market may have formed a local bottom, with potential for recovery if BTC maintains the $102,000-$103,000 support zone. XBTO's analysis indicates a controlled de-risking in altcoins, with capital consolidating rather than fleeing the asset class. Traders are also closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, as Chairman Jerome Powell's commentary is expected to drive market volatility.

According to @FarsideUK, the cryptocurrency market shows strong underlying institutional adoption despite traders remaining cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision and due to geopolitical tensions. Bullish signals include JPMorgan's application for a crypto platform, Strategy's purchase of over 10,100 BTC, and an order from the FHFA director for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider crypto holdings for mortgages, as stated by Bill Pulte on X. Additionally, spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs recorded 12 consecutive days of net inflows, per Farside Investors data. Analyst firm BRN maintains a high-conviction view that prices will grind higher in 2025, expecting BTC to lead. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's 50-day SMA is providing strong support. However, derivatives data presents a mixed picture; while perpetual funding rates suggest a non-overheated bullish sentiment, a flat basis on CME futures weakens the immediate bullish case.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, as widely anticipated. The Fed's latest projections indicate a more hawkish long-term stance, with fewer rate cuts expected in 2026 and 2027 than previously forecasted. Policymakers also revised their outlook to show weaker economic growth, with the 2024 GDP forecast lowered to 1.4%, and higher inflation, with the PCE inflation projection raised to 3.0%. Following the announcement, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant downturn. Bitcoin (BTC) fell over 2.5%, while major altcoins such as Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP saw steeper declines of 5-7%. The selloff was attributed not only to the Fed's outlook but also to heightened geopolitical risks, including potential trade tariffs and Middle East tensions. Despite this, some economic indicators like a softer Producer Price Index and rising jobless claims could potentially pressure the Fed towards a more dovish policy in the future.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the U.S. Federal Reserve has held its benchmark interest rates steady in the 4.25%-4.50% range, while signaling weaker economic growth and higher inflation projections for the year. The Fed's updated dot plot still indicates 50 basis points of rate cuts in 2024, but projects fewer cuts in subsequent years. The crypto market reacted with increased volatility; after an initial muted response, Bitcoin (BTC) fell over 2.5% to below $106,000 before recovering to trade near $107,000 (BTCUSD). The downturn was more severe for altcoins, as Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP) experienced drops of 5%-7%. The source attributes the selloff in risk assets to rising geopolitical tensions. However, recent softer inflation data (PPI) and rising jobless claims could potentially force the Fed into a more dovish monetary policy, which may create a tailwind for cryptocurrencies.

According to Omkar Godbole, Bitcoin and Ether have demonstrated resilience despite Iran-Israel hostilities, trading in narrow ranges with institutions driving demand. JPMorgan filed for a crypto-focused platform, and Strategy purchased over 10,100 BTC worth $1.05 billion, while spot BTC and ETH ETFs recorded inflows. Regulatory progress includes the GENIUS stablecoin bill advancing in Congress. XBTO highlighted selective capital flows with altcoins experiencing significant sell-offs, and BRN forecasts higher prices in 2025 due to strong institutional demand. The upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision could impact markets, with potential for volatility.